FXUS64 KOHX 032342
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
542 PM CST Thu Dec 3 2020

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Broke out late afternoon grouping to emphasize movement of showers
slowly eastward into mid state region. Used consensus blended
model solution through next Thursday. Showers should spread
across mid state region as evening, into Friday, and even into
Friday evening across Cumberland Plateau Region as an upper level
low pressure system approaches, moves across, and then pushes
eastward of mid state region. Total rainfall amounts should
generally range from around one quarter of an inch northwest to
around an inch Cumberland Plateau Region. Still looks like
seasonably cold air will work in behind this system with possibly
some flurries across western and central portions of mid state
region after midnight, but latest trends in consensus model blend
showing best moisture moving well east of region before cold air
works its way in. Will continue with a dry forecast Saturday
through mid portion of next work week with possibly another upper
level low passage across eastern portion of mid state region as
Monday progresses. However as of this time will continue to
mention dry conditons as consensus model guidance pops are slight
at best. Seasonally cold temperatures this weekend will warm to
seasonally normal values by mid portion of next work week as
initial colder air working out of the Rockies becomes
increasingly southerly flow modified.

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

Showers will overspread the terminals this evening with cigs
dropping to MVFR and eventually IFR/LIFR. Visibility will be
reduced to MVFR/IFR during heavier showers overnight. Cold front
will move through the terminals during the mid to late morning
hours with winds shifting to the WNW/NW. Cigs will gradually
improve to MVFR at BNA/CKV/MQY during the late afternoon.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION......JB Wright
AVIATION........Reagan