FXUS64 KMEG 270815
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
315 AM CDT Sat Jul 27 2024

...New SYNOPSIS, DISCUSSION...

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 315 AM CDT Sat Jul 27 2024

Unsettled weather pattern will continue into the first half of
next week, with PoPs each day and below normal temps. Pattern will
finally begin to shift near the middle of next week, with a drier
and warmer pattern returning to the Mid-South.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 315 AM CDT Sat Jul 27 2024

Scattered showers continue to move across the Mid-South this
morning as our unsettled weather pattern continues. As depicted on
current upper-level water vapor satellite imagery, a plethora of
moisture continues to funnel into the area with SW flow. Today and
tomorrow will be a similar trend to the past few days, with on
and off showers and a few isolated thunderstorms in the mix. If
some storms can capitalize on the current environment, periods of
heavy rainfall certainly cannot be ruled out and could cause
issues for areas that have seen multiple rounds of rain the past
few days. The good news with this pattern is it has allowed to
temps to stay well below normal for the end of July, with high
temps remaining in the low to mid 80s today and mid 80s tomorrow.

Upper-level trough will finally begin to drift eastward on Monday,
slowing ushering our wet weather pattern out of the area. Will
continue to see some isolated pops Monday and Tuesday, mainly for
the eastern half of the CWA. By Wednesday, high pressure will
continue to build to west, with much warmer temperatures
spreading across the area. High temps will remain in the low 90s
Monday and Tuesday, before soaring back into the mid to upper 90s
by Wednesday through Friday. Dew points will be camping in the mid
70s much of next week, so some heat headlines may be needed as
early as Monday. Areawide heat headlines are looking increasingly
likely by Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1142 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024

An upper level low pressure system will keep scattered SHRAs
near all terminals through much of the period. A more robust
upper level wave will bring higher chances of prevailing SHRAs to
MEM and JBR overnight through Saturday morning. TSRAs will be
possible by late afternoon, but should be widely scattered in
coverage. Occasional MVFR CIGs and VSBYs will accompany +SHRAs.
Winds will remain 7 knots or less and mainly from the south.

AC3

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

PUBLIC FORECAST...CMA
AVIATION...AC3